Monday, April 12, 2010

You Heard It Here First - Take Four - MCLA Division 1 2010 Playoff Seeding

Michigan
Colorado State
BYU
Chapman
Minn-Duluth
Michigan State
Arizona State
Oregon
Florida State
Boston College
Virginia Tech
Cal Poly
Simon Fraser
Colorado
Texas
Illinois

When looking at National Tournament field and seedings I am looking at overall body of work, head to head comparisons, not necessarily match-ups, but comparisons, and weighting second half of season, or "what have you done lately," more than early work for lots of reasons.

The last couple of weeks have been wild to say the least.  I had said to watch out for Simon Fraser after they beat Cal Poly, for which Cal Poly paid dearly in the polls, well Simon Fraser has now beaten ASU by a touchdown, and Oregon by two.  Anyone still think it was because Cal Poly is not as good.  Simon Fraser has a ton of losses this year, six to be exact, five of those are to current top five teams, and the sixth...to Colorado.  Oh by the way, Colorado beat Michigan this week, it is amazing what a hot goaltender and some poor shooting will do in this game.

OK, so I have put Simon Fraser in given that it seems whatever issues they were having early in the year they have straightened out, and I have put Colorado in because even though I am not a huge fan of mid-season coaching changes, especially at this level, this seems to have had the desired affect.

I am also leaving Illinois in because when you look at their year versus Lindenwood, both from the GRLC, it is hard to figure out why Illinois has not been ranked until now and why Lindenwood is ranked seven spots above Illinois, but that will sort itself out in the next two weeks.  All the evidence seems to point to Illinois being the better team, and in fact I would watch the Lindenwood - Indiana score this weekend as that game is at Indiana, another Big Ten School that is much improved.

To stay with that comment for a minute, look at the Big Ten this year, Michigan, Michigan State, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, all very much improved, with the exception I guess of Michigan who had no way to improve essentially.

Regardless the seedings, if the tournament was next week I would be on my way to Colorado as we speak because I think this is going to be one very balanced and fun field to watch!!

Thank you again for getting this far with me.

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