The committee has some decisions to make, sort of. This year's committee should have about five minutes worth of work to do, or less, if the favorites hold serve tomorrow. The list below is simply by looking at the playoff brackets for each conference and placing their winner, and in some cases their runner up, and then for the RMLC a third team, the only league to have three teams. It is possible that The Sage will be right again and the committee will view the SLC as a stronger conference overall then the RMLC, but how do you leave a team out that in the past four weeks has three top ten wins, including a win over # 1Michigan? Colorado is 6-6 on their regular season, 4-1 since the coaching change, and a team that has split what turned out to be a home and home with # 4 BYU with an overall goal differential between the two teams of 1 goal.
The RMLC has # 2 and # 4, and the SLC has # 3 and # 5. UCSBs body of work is probably a bit stronger, at least their record is, but how many big wins do they have? None. Colorado's first half of their year was horrible, with two "bad" losses, New Hampshire and LMU, UCSBs next closest competitor so not sure how bad a loss that was, but they have three "big" wins, Michigan, Michigan State, and BYU.
I think it has to be Colorado with the top ten wins and the victory over Michigan.
Final seeding will be determined largely by what happens tomorrow, and with possible upsets in the PCLL, and the WCLL, possible, but not likely, then the committee will have more than Colorado and UCSB to discuss. Those are the only two leagues where an upset would put a team from outside the top sixteen in as the AQ by replacing a top sixteen team. Illinois could get upset tomorrow in the GRLC, but it will have no affect on the bracket at all, except to change the name of the sixteen seed.
If New Hampshire beats Boston College tomorrow, and/or Cal beats Cal Poly, BC being upset by New Hampshire seems possible, Cal beating Cal Poly not so much, but if either of these happen, or both, then the committee has a lot of work to do, because numbers 10 and 11 will have been upset by # 23 and an unranked Cal team. Woops.
Again, not expected, but if it happens then at least the committee will have earned their money!! Again, sort of.
The only thing that would really screw this whole thing up is if the first two upsets both happen, and somehow Minnesota beats Minnesota-Duluth, not really possible, but would really make life interesting, and would make this a Big Ten tourney. Their last game was a 16 to 2 affair, so again, not really possible.
Michigan
Colorado State (CSU gets # 1 if Michigan State beats Michigan tomorrow in their final, not probable)
Chapman
Arizona State (ASU gets # 2 or 3 with win over Chapman tomorrow)
BYU
Simon Fraser
Oregon (Oregon gets 6 spot with win tomorrow over Simon Fraser)
Minn-Duluth
Colorado (the committee could, but shouldn't, choose UCSB) (this spot gets dropped with first upset)
Cal Poly (I don't think they get dropped if upset tomorrow, but they would drop to 13 or 14)
Florida State
Michigan State (gone with second upset)
Boston College (If they get beat by New Hampshire they will drop a spot, maybe)
Florida
Texas State
Illinois
Thank you again for getting this far with me.
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